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2. Bundesliga · MW4Ref: Konrad Oldhfer
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim result, stats and report

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Lost · xG 0.88
0 – 1
FT 07:25
Won · xG 0.99
1. FC Heidenheim
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Sun 25 Oct · 1. FC Heidenheim v Energie Cottbus · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives 1. FC Heidenheim win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

GRF
34.2%
Draw
24.0%
1. FC Heidenheim
41.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
63.6%
Over 2.5 goals
61.1%

Full-time forecast audit: 1. FC Heidenheim win was the highest probability; the match result was 1. FC Heidenheim win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
24%
42%
34.2%GRF
24.0%Draw
41.8%1. FC Heidenheim

Both Teams to Score

64%
Yes 63.6%No 36.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.1%No 38.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates 1. FC Heidenheim or draw at 53.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.4%.

Double Chance

1X
41.6%
12
4.6%
X2
53.8%

Half-Time Result

GRF
27.4%
Draw
38.2%
1. FC Heidenheim
34.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
GRF
Draw
1. FC Heidenheim
GRF
17.9%
5.0%
4.2%
Draw
11.2%
12.8%
12.3%
1. FC Heidenheim
3.1%
5.7%
27.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.4%
No
93.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.