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Liga Portugal ยท MW5Ref: Joรฃo Pedro Silva Pinheiro
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Sporting CP 2-0 Nacional result, stats and report

Sporting CP
Won ยท xG 1.37
2 โ€“ 0
FT
Lost ยท xG 0.05
Nacional
Next: Sporting Braga v Sporting CP ยท Fri 9 Oct ยท Rio Ave v Nacional ยท Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Sporting CPNacionalLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Sporting CP win the highest 1X2 probability at 73.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SCP
73.3%
Draw
18.3%
NAC
8.4%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
40.6%
Over 2.5 goals
53.5%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

73%
18%
73.3%SCP
18.3%Draw
8.4%NAC

Both Teams to Score

41%
Yes 40.6%No 59.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 53.5%No 46.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
13.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
0-0
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SCP or draw at 70.9%; the most likely half-time state is SCP leading at half-time at 54.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 18.5%.

Double Chance

1X
70.9%
12
7.0%
X2
22.0%

Half-Time Result

SCP
54.2%
Draw
34.2%
NAC
11.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SCP
Draw
NAC
SCP
50.1%
3.3%
0.7%
Draw
20.7%
10.5%
3.4%
NAC
3.1%
3.6%
4.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
18.5%
No
81.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.