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Liga Portugal · MW4Ref: André Filipe Domingues Narciso
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Sporting Braga 1-0 Vitória Guimarães result, stats and report

Sporting Braga
Won · xG 0.70
1 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.12
Vitória Guimarães
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: FC København v Sporting Braga · Thu 15 Oct · Vitória Guimarães v Marítimo · Fri 23 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Sporting BragaVitória GuimarãesLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Sporting Braga win the highest 1X2 probability at 61.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SBR
61.4%
Draw
22.3%
VDG
16.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.9%
Over 2.5 goals
52.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

61%
22%
16%
61.4%SBR
22.3%Draw
16.3%VDG

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 48.9%No 51.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.0%No 48.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.3%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
10.1%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SBR or draw at 67.5%; the most likely half-time state is SBR leading at half-time at 48.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.1%.

Double Chance

1X
67.5%
12
6.8%
X2
25.7%

Half-Time Result

SBR
48.5%
Draw
36.5%
VDG
15.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SBR
Draw
VDG
SBR
41.5%
4.0%
1.6%
Draw
19.2%
13.3%
5.0%
VDG
3.4%
3.8%
8.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.1%
No
87.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.