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EFL Championship · MW6 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, HampshireRef: Lewis Smith
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Southampton 3-1 Swansea result, stats and report

Southampton
Won · xG 1.72
3 – 1
FT 17:25
Lost · xG 1.34
Swansea
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Southampton v QPR · Sat 31 Oct · Swansea v Blackburn · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Southampton vs Swansea?

Southampton 3-1 Swansea, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Southampton won it.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

Southampton won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 17:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Southampton 3–1 Swansea

Southampton head into Tuesday's Championship fixture at St Mary's carrying a point deduction, three long-term absentees, and the fragile confidence of a side still searching for structure. Swansea, quietly building momentum on the road, represent a stern examination of everything the hosts have not yet resolved.

Key Takeaways
Result

Southampton beat Swansea 3-1 at home.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
F
9'⚽
Finn Azaz
FAssist: Flynn Downes
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Southampton 1.72 xGSwansea 1.34 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Southampton to win

50%Matched

Result

Southampton3:1Swansea

Southampton v Swansea

Our model called Southampton to win at 50%. Southampton 3-1 Swansea. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Southampton beat Swansea 3-1 at St. Mary's in the Championship. Our model backed a Southampton win at 50% probability, and the pick landed. Both sides had scored in each of Southampton's last five matches, though Swansea managed to break that streak here. Southampton's recent form showed three wins in five, while Swansea arrived with three wins from their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Southampton v Swansea · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Cyle Larin★ MOTM1 goal · 85 min7.8
  2. Léo Scienza1 goal · 85 min7.5
  3. Zan VipotnikSwansea1 goal · 70 min7.4
  4. Finn AzazSouthampton1 goal · 90 min7.2
  5. Kuryu MatsukiSouthampton1 assist · 14 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Southampton win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Southampton
49.8%
Draw
25.3%
Swansea
24.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.6%
Over 2.5 goals
53.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Southampton win was the highest probability; the match result was Southampton win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Southampton and Swansea, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 41league matches at home unbeaten for Southampton.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 7league matches away from home unbeaten for Swansea.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Southampton scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Swansea scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Southampton have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Swansea have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Divin Mubama has the highest listed average xGOT for Southampton at 0.76 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Joseph Opoku has the highest listed average xGOT for Swansea at 0.76 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Southampton vs Swansea?
    Southampton beat Swansea 3-1 in the EFL Championship at St. Mary's Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Finn Azaz opened the scoring in the 9th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Finn Azaz (9'), Cyle Larin (33'), Zan Vipotnik (52'), Léo Scienza (78').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 1 yellow card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Lewis Smith officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Southampton vs Swansea kicked off on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 UK time at St. Mary's Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    12 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Southampton play QPR on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. Swansea play Blackburn on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.