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EFL Championship · MW11 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire

Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Southampton or Bolton Wanderers?

Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers kicks off UK time in the EFL Championship. The match is at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Southampton v BOL: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
9.7
xG for
15 +5.3
Goals
8.9
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
6.6
xG for
5 -1.6
Goals
12.3
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
SouthamptonNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Southampton recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L11.46
2W41.95
3W31.72
4D10.63
5D10.71
6W53.21
Bolton WanderersNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Bolton Wanderers recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W10.54
2L21.73
3L00.99
4L21.24
5L02.03
6D00.12
Southampton have taken more points than their chances were worth: 11 points against 8.5 expected. Bolton Wanderers have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 4 points against 5.0 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Southampton generated 9.7 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 15, 5.3 above that chance total. Bolton Wanderers generated 6.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 5, 1.6 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Southampton: 6 matches · BOL: 6
Recent team comparison. Southampton sample 6; Bolton Wanderers sample 6.
MeasureSouthamptonBolton Wanderers
Goals / game2.50.83
Conceded / game1.171.83
xG / game1.621.1
xG conceded / game1.482.05
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Southampton v Bolton Wanderers

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~14:00
Southampton11 starters
41Peretz
1McCarthy
3Manning
15Wood
5Stephens
4Downes
27Matsuki
10Azaz
18Fellows
48Bragg
9Armstrong
BOL11 starters
1Bonham
6Johnston
3Forino
14Osei-Tutu
25Conway
8Sheehan
16Morley
10Dalby
48Burstow
11Gale
45McAtee
Out / doubtful
🩹 Caspar Jander injury · 🩹 Ryan Manning injury · 🩹 Finn Azaz injury · 🩹 Jack Stephens injury · ❓ Taylor Harwood-Bellis suspended · 🩹 Mads Roerslev injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Southampton v Bolton Wanderers · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers?
    Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers takes place on Saturday 17 October at 15:00 (UK time) in the EFL Championship at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, Hampshire.
  • How can I watch Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for EFL Championship coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 17 Oct, 15:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.