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UEFA Champions League · MW1Ref: Vasilis Fotias
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Slavia Praha 2-3 Lens result, stats and report

Slavia Praha
Lost · xG 1.76
2 – 3
FT 15:45
Won · xG 1.49
Lens
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Slavia Praha v Arsenal · Wed 4 Nov · Lens v Como · Wed 4 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Slavia PrahaLensUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Slavia Praha win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SLA
47.7%
Draw
23.4%
Lens
28.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.6%
Over 2.5 goals
58.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Slavia Praha win was the highest probability; the match result was Lens win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

48%
23%
29%
47.7%SLA
23.4%Draw
28.9%Lens

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 57.6%No 42.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.6%No 41.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SLA or draw at 56.6%; the most likely half-time state is SLA leading at half-time at 38.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.9%.

Double Chance

1X
56.6%
12
5.0%
X2
38.3%

Half-Time Result

SLA
38.6%
Draw
37.9%
Lens
23.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SLA
Draw
Lens
SLA
32.8%
5.4%
1.7%
Draw
17.2%
12.2%
8.1%
Lens
3.4%
5.0%
14.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.9%
No
89.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.