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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW10Ref: Patryk Gryckiewicz
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Śląsk Wrocław 1-4 Lech Poznań result, stats and report

Śląsk Wrocław
Lost · xG 0.59
1 – 4
FT 06:15
Won · xG 2.40
Lech Poznań
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Radomiak Radom v Śląsk Wrocław · Mon 2 Nov · Lech Poznań v Wisła Kraków · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Śląsk WrocławLech PoznańPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Lech Poznań win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Śląsk Wrocław
29.5%
Draw
23.0%
LEC
47.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.2%
Over 2.5 goals
62.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Lech Poznań win was the highest probability; the match result was Lech Poznań win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

30%
23%
47%
29.5%Śląsk Wrocław
23.0%Draw
47.5%LEC

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 61.2%No 38.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 62.1%No 37.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LEC or draw at 58.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.3%.

Double Chance

1X
36.5%
12
4.7%
X2
58.8%

Half-Time Result

Śląsk Wrocław
24.8%
Draw
38.3%
LEC
36.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Śląsk Wrocław
Draw
LEC
Śląsk Wrocław
15.8%
4.5%
3.8%
Draw
10.1%
14.5%
13.5%
LEC
2.5%
5.2%
30.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.3%
No
94.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.