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Swiss Super League · MW5Ref: Sven Wolfensberger
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Sion 1-2 Lugano result, stats and report

Sion
Lost · xG 2.38
1 – 2
FT
Won · xG 1.07
Lugano
Next: Sion v Lausanne Sport · Sun 25 Oct · Lugano v Crvena Zvezda · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SionLuganoSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives Lugano win the highest 1X2 probability at 36.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SIO
35.9%
Draw
27.2%
LUG
36.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.4%
Over 2.5 goals
52.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
27%
37%
35.9%SIO
27.2%Draw
36.8%LUG

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.4%No 43.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.1%No 47.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LUG or draw at 46.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.2%.

Double Chance

1X
46.5%
12
7.0%
X2
46.5%

Half-Time Result

SIO
30.3%
Draw
40.2%
LUG
29.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SIO
Draw
LUG
SIO
21.5%
5.6%
3.3%
Draw
13.0%
15.5%
11.4%
LUG
2.8%
5.3%
21.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.2%
No
94.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.