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UEFA Champions League · MW2Ref: Chris Kavanagh
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens result, stats and report

Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Won · xG 1.32
3 – 1
FT 06:25
AEK Athens
Lost · xG 1.15
AEK Athens
Match review
Next: Shakhtar Donetsk v Sporting CP · Tue 3 Nov · AEK Athens v Real Madrid · Wed 4 Nov
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Who won Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?

Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens, full time in the UEFA Champions League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

SHK won it 3–1

SHKAEK

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 06:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 AEK Athens

AEK Athens came from behind to beat Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 in the UEFA Champions League, with goals from Vinícius Tobias and Gleiker Mendoza sealing a deserved away win after Lovro Majer had given the hosts an early lead.

UEFA Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Shakhtar Donetsk beat AEK Athens 3-1 at home.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
L
28'⚽
Lovro Majer
SAssist: Stavros Pilios
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Shakhtar Donetsk 1.32 xGAEK Athens 1.15 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

AEK Athens to win

46%Missed

Result

Shakhtar Donetsk3:1AEK Athens

SHK v AEK

Our model leaned AEK Athens to win at 46%. Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Shakhtar Donetsk beat AEK Athens 3-1 in a Champions League match where our model backed the visitors at 46 percent probability; the pick missed. Majer opened the scoring for Athens in the 28th minute, but Pedrinho levelled from the penalty spot six minutes later. Shakhtar took control thereafter, with Vinícius Tobias adding a third in the 80th minute to seal the win. Both teams found the net despite Athens arriving in poor form. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens · UEFA Champions League ·

More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Lovro MajerAEK★ MOTM1 goal · 71 min7.7

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Shakhtar DonetskAEK AthensUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives AEK Athens win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SHK
28.7%
Draw
25.7%
AEK
45.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.8%
Over 2.5 goals
47.5%

Full-time forecast audit: AEK Athens win was the highest probability; the match result was Shakhtar Donetsk win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For AEK Athens, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 19 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Shakhtar Donetsk, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 57 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For AEK Athens, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 4 comparable matches from 19 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Shakhtar Donetsk, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 3 comparable matches from 57 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • Shakhtar Donetsk scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • AEK Athens scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Shakhtar Donetsk have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • AEK Athens have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Marlon Gomes has the highest listed average xGOT for Shakhtar Donetsk at 0.58 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Răzvan Marin has the highest listed average xGOT for AEK Athens at 0.97 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens?
    SHK beat AEK 3-1 in the UEFA Champions League.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Lovro Majer opened the scoring in the 28th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Lovro Majer (28'), Pedrinho (34'), Vinícius Tobias (80'), Gleiker Mendoza (86').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Chris Kavanagh officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    SHK vs AEK kicked off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    SHK play Shakhtar Donetsk on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 UK time. AEK play Real Madrid on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.