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La Liga · MW7 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, SevillaRef: Juan Martínez Munuera
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona result, stats and report

Sevilla
Lost · xG 0.67
1 – 3
FT 09:35
Won · xG 3.68
Barcelona
Next: Atletico Madrid v Barcelona · Sun 8 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SevillaBarcelonaLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Barcelona win the highest 1X2 probability at 65.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Sevilla
14.5%
Draw
19.9%
Barcelona
65.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.5%
Over 2.5 goals
57.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Barcelona win was the highest probability; the match result was Barcelona win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

15%
20%
66%
14.5%Sevilla
19.9%Draw
65.6%Barcelona

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.5%No 50.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.5%No 42.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-2
11.4%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Barcelona or draw at 62.5%; the most likely half-time state is Barcelona leading at half-time at 43.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.5%.

Double Chance

1X
31.9%
12
5.6%
X2
62.5%

Half-Time Result

Sevilla
18.6%
Draw
38.2%
Barcelona
43.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Sevilla
Draw
Barcelona
Sevilla
10.8%
4.2%
3.8%
Draw
7.2%
12.1%
18.5%
Barcelona
1.3%
4.3%
37.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.5%
No
98.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.