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UEFA Europa Conference League Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im BreisgauRef: Andrea Colombo
Full time

This match had in-play prices; no live commentary, stats or momentum.

SC Freiburg 4-1 Motherwell result, stats and report

SC Freiburg
Won · xG 3.96
4 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.09
Motherwell
Next: SC Freiburg v Schalke 04 · Sun 11 Oct · Motherwell v Celtic · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SC FreiburgMotherwellUEFA Europa Conference League

The provider forecast gives SC Freiburg win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SC Freiburg
45.5%
Draw
24.2%
MOT
30.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.9%
Over 2.5 goals
52.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
24%
30%
45.5%SC Freiburg
24.2%Draw
30.3%MOT

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.9%No 48.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.2%No 47.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MOT or draw at 47.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.2%.

Double Chance

1X
46.0%
12
7.0%
X2
47.1%

Half-Time Result

SC Freiburg
28.5%
Draw
43.3%
MOT
28.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SC Freiburg
Draw
MOT
SC Freiburg
21.7%
4.3%
2.6%
Draw
15.6%
15.5%
11.9%
MOT
3.0%
4.7%
20.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.2%
No
92.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.