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UEFA Europa League · MW2Ref: Horatiu Fesnic
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Salzburg 0-4 AC Milan result, stats and report

Salzburg
Lost · xG 1.02
0 – 4
FT 03:15
Won · xG 2.90
AC Milan
Next: Anderlecht v Salzburg · Thu 5 Nov · AC Milan v Ferencvárosi · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SalzburgAC MilanUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives AC Milan win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RBS
37.6%
Draw
24.4%
AC Milan
38.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.1%
Over 2.5 goals
53.8%

Full-time forecast audit: AC Milan win was the highest probability; the match result was AC Milan win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
24%
38%
37.6%RBS
24.4%Draw
38.0%AC Milan

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 55.1%No 44.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.8%No 46.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.2%
0-1
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates RBS or draw at 48.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.9%.

Double Chance

1X
48.8%
12
6.2%
X2
45.1%

Half-Time Result

RBS
31.2%
Draw
40.4%
AC Milan
28.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RBS
Draw
AC Milan
RBS
25.0%
4.3%
2.3%
Draw
14.4%
14.6%
11.3%
AC Milan
2.3%
4.8%
20.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.9%
No
94.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.