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UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRef: Jasper Vergoote
Full time

This match had in-play prices; no live commentary, stats or momentum.

Rijeka 1-4 FC Midtjylland result, stats and report

Rijeka
Lost · xG 1.29
1 – 4
FT
Won · xG 2.53
FC Midtjylland
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Rudeš v Rijeka · Fri 16 Oct · Egnatia Rrogozhinë v FC Midtjylland · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

RijekaFC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa Conference League

The provider forecast gives Rijeka win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RIJ
44.5%
Draw
25.3%
FCM
30.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.0%
Over 2.5 goals
49.6%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
25%
30%
44.5%RIJ
25.3%Draw
30.2%FCM

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 51.0%No 49.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.6%No 50.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
0-0
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates RIJ or draw at 54.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.3%.

Double Chance

1X
54.4%
12
7.3%
X2
38.4%

Half-Time Result

RIJ
32.2%
Draw
43.8%
FCM
24.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RIJ
Draw
FCM
RIJ
25.7%
4.8%
2.0%
Draw
17.6%
15.2%
11.6%
FCM
2.8%
4.6%
15.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.3%
No
93.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.