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Ligue 2 · MW9Ref: Antoine Valnet
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Red Star 0-1 Saint-Étienne result, stats and report

Red Star
Lost · xG 0.34
0 – 1
FT 07:15
Won · xG 0.86
Saint-Étienne
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Dijon v Red Star · Fri 6 Nov · Saint-Étienne v Laval · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Red StarSaint-ÉtienneLigue 2

The provider forecast gives Saint-Étienne win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RED
31.0%
Draw
27.7%
STE
41.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.0%
Over 2.5 goals
47.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Saint-Étienne win was the highest probability; the match result was Saint-Étienne win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

31%
28%
41%
31.0%RED
27.7%Draw
41.2%STE

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.0%No 47.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 47.7%No 52.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates STE or draw at 48.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.2%.

Double Chance

1X
43.9%
12
8.0%
X2
48.0%

Half-Time Result

RED
26.2%
Draw
43.9%
STE
29.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RED
Draw
STE
RED
18.4%
5.4%
2.4%
Draw
11.8%
17.5%
13.9%
STE
2.1%
6.1%
22.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.2%
No
96.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.