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Ligue 2 · MW6Ref: Mickaël Leleu
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Red Star 1-0 Metz result, stats and report

1 – 0
FT 13:45
Lost
Metz
Next: Montpellier v Red Star · Mon 26 Oct · Dunkerque v Metz · Fri 23 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Red StarMetzLigue 2

The provider forecast gives Red Star win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RED
40.6%
Draw
29.9%
Metz
29.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.5%
Over 2.5 goals
43.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Red Star win was the highest probability; the match result was Red Star win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
30%
29%
40.6%RED
29.9%Draw
29.5%Metz

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 48.5%No 51.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

43%
Yes 43.4%No 56.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
23%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates RED or draw at 54.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.0%.

Double Chance

1X
54.0%
12
10.6%
X2
35.5%

Half-Time Result

RED
32.9%
Draw
45.9%
Metz
21.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RED
Draw
Metz
RED
24.5%
5.5%
2.1%
Draw
16.6%
18.5%
10.7%
Metz
2.2%
5.3%
14.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.0%
No
95.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.