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La Liga · Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 20:00 KO Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
13 Sept
Real Sociedad 35%Draw 28%Atletico Madrid 38%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

Real SociedadAtletico MadridLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Atletico Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.5%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Real Sociedad
34.9%
Draw
27.5%
Atletico Madrid
37.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.3%
Over 2.5 goals
49.2%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

35%
28%
38%
34.9%Real Sociedad
27.5%Draw
37.5%Atletico Madrid

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.3%No 45.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 49.2%No 50.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.5%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Real Sociedad or draw at 49.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.4%.

Double Chance

1X
49.7%
12
8.0%
X2
42.4%

Half-Time Result

Real Sociedad
29.3%
Draw
44.0%
Atletico Madrid
26.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Real Sociedad
Draw
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
22.4%
5.5%
2.6%
Draw
14.2%
17.4%
11.3%
Atletico Madrid
3.3%
5.8%
17.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.4%
No
95.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.