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La Liga 2 · MW10Ref: Alejandro Ojaos Valera
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Real Sociedad II 2-4 Almería result, stats and report

Real Sociedad II
Lost · xG 1.60
2 – 4
FT 05:56
Won · xG 1.18
Almería
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Sabadell v Real Sociedad II · Mon 9 Nov · Almería v FC Andorra · Sat 14 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Real Sociedad IIAlmeríaLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Almería win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

REA
24.1%
Draw
26.6%
ALM
49.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.4%
Over 2.5 goals
42.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Almería win was the highest probability; the match result was Almería win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

24%
27%
49%
24.1%REA
26.6%Draw
49.3%ALM

Both Teams to Score

46%
Yes 46.4%No 53.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

43%
Yes 42.9%No 57.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
22%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
10.0%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ALM or draw at 51.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.5%.

Double Chance

1X
38.7%
12
9.6%
X2
51.8%

Half-Time Result

REA
22.8%
Draw
46.0%
ALM
31.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
REA
Draw
ALM
REA
13.6%
5.3%
2.9%
Draw
9.6%
17.7%
17.2%
ALM
1.6%
5.1%
27.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.5%
No
98.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.