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La Liga · MW9 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, MadridRef: Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla result, stats and report

Real Madrid
Won · xG 1.74
4 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 1.39
Sevilla
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Valencia v Real Madrid · Sat 7 Nov · Sevilla v Deportivo Alaves · Fri 6 Nov
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Who won Real Madrid vs Sevilla?

Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla, full time in La Liga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Real Madrid winning 2, Sevilla winning 0 and 0 drawn.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

Real Madrid won it 4–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 05:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla

Real Madrid host Sevilla on Sunday night with four wins from their last five La Liga matches, but their defensive record tells a more complicated story. Sevilla arrive with problems of their own, including suspensions and injuries that could make this a long evening.

Key Takeaways
Result

Real Madrid beat Sevilla 4-1 at home.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
A
30'⚽
Arda Güler
YAssist: Yan Diomande
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Madrid 1.74 xGSevilla 1.39 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'
📊 Match recap and data context

Real Madrid beat Sevilla 4-1 at the Bernabéu in La Liga. Our model favored a Madrid win at 70 percent probability, and the pick landed. Arda Güler opened the scoring in the 30th minute, then Kylian Mbappé doubled the lead seven minutes later; Mbappé added a penalty in the 63rd to put the match beyond reach. Madrid's dominance reflected their recent form, though both sides had shown attacking threat in their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Real Madrid v Sevilla · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Kylian MbappéReal Madrid★ MOTM2 goals · 85 min8.5
  2. Yan DiomandeReal Madrid1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.3
  3. Arda GülerReal Madrid1 goal · 78 min8.3
  4. Jude BellinghamReal Madrid1 assist · 70 min7.3
  5. Aurélien TchouaméniReal Madrid1 assist · 90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Real Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 70.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Real Madrid
70.0%
Draw
18.5%
Sevilla
11.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.1%
Over 2.5 goals
59.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Real Madrid win was the highest probability; the match result was Real Madrid win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Sevilla, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 50 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Sevilla, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Real Madrid, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 50 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Real Madrid, the final recorded goal situation matched 14 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-1is the most common scoreline between Real Madrid and Sevilla, landing 5 times across 26 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 16/26recorded league meetings saw both teams score (61.5%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 47league matches at home unbeaten for Real Madrid.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 5league matches away from home unbeaten for Sevilla.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Real Madrid scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Sevilla scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
    Real Madrid beat Sevilla 4-1 in the La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Arda Güler opened the scoring in the 30th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Arda Güler (30'), Kylian Mbappé (37'), Kylian Mbappé (63'), Manu Bueno (80'), Yan Diomande (82').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Mateo Busquets Ferrer officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Real Madrid vs Sevilla kicked off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    3 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Real Madrid play Valencia on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. Sevilla play Deportivo Alaves on Friday, 6 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.