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La Liga · MW9 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
18 Oct
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Real Madrid or Sevilla?

Real Madrid vs Sevilla kicks off UK time in La Liga. The match is at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Real Madrid winning 2, Sevilla winning 0 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Real Madrid v Sevilla: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
15.1
xG for
17 +1.9
Goals
6.5
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
4.0
xG for
8 +4.0
Goals
7.2
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Real MadridNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Real Madrid recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W32.81
2W42.90
3W23.77
4L02.02
5W41.10
6W42.55
SevillaNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Sevilla recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L10.67
2W10.90
3W10.99
4D10.01
5L10.86
6W30.54
Real Madrid have taken more points than their chances were worth: 15 points against 13.3 expected. Sevilla have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 6.7 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Real Madrid generated 15.1 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 17, 1.9 above that chance total. Sevilla generated 4.0 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 8, 4.0 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Real Madrid: 6 matches · Sevilla: 6
Recent team comparison. Real Madrid sample 6; Sevilla sample 6.
MeasureReal MadridSevilla
Goals / game2.831.33
Conceded / game11.33
xG / game2.520.67
xG conceded / game1.081.2
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Real Madrid v Sevilla

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Real Madrid11 starters
1Courtois
24Huijsen
20García
8Valverde
5Bellingham
15Güler
38Palacios
7Junior
30Mastantuono
16García
Sevilla11 starters
1Vlachodimos
12Suazo
4Salas
36Oso
32Castrín
22Martínez
3Pedrosadoubt
18Agoumé
20Sow
7Ortega
9Adams
Out / doubtful
🩹 Thibaut Courtois injury · 🩹 Rodrygo injury · 🩹 Ferland Mendy injury · 🩹 Aurélien Tchouaméni injury · 🩹 Raúl Asencio injury · ❓ Adrià Pedrosa suspended · ❓ Isaac Romero suspended · 🩹 Rubén Vargas injury · ❓ Batista Mendy suspended
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Match Preview · published 19 Sept 2026, 06:40 BST

Real Madrid's Clean Sheet Record Under Threat as Sevilla Arrive at the Bernabéu

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Real Madrid host Sevilla on Sunday night with four wins from their last five La Liga matches, but their defensive record tells a more complicated story. Sevilla arrive with problems of their own, including suspensions and injuries that could make this a lon…

Read the full preview
📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Real Madrid v Sevilla · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
    Real Madrid vs Sevilla takes place on Sunday 18 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Sevilla?
    In their last 2 meetings, Real Madrid won 2, Sevilla won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for La Liga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Real Madrid vs Sevilla free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Real Madrid vs Sevilla are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 18 Oct, 20:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.