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UEFA Champions League · MW3 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
21 Oct
Real Madrid 63%Draw 18%RB Leipzig 19%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

Real MadridRB LeipzigUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Real Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 62.9%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Real Madrid
62.9%
Draw
18.0%
RB Leipzig
19.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.9%
Over 2.5 goals
66.0%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

63%
18%
19%
62.9%Real Madrid
18.0%Draw
19.1%RB Leipzig

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.9%No 43.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

66%
Yes 66.0%No 34.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
45%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
1-1
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Real Madrid or draw at 62.5%; the most likely half-time state is Real Madrid leading at half-time at 45.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 20.8%.

Double Chance

1X
62.5%
12
4.0%
X2
33.5%

Half-Time Result

Real Madrid
45.2%
Draw
32.2%
RB Leipzig
22.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Real Madrid
Draw
RB Leipzig
Real Madrid
42.3%
3.1%
2.9%
Draw
15.8%
8.2%
6.7%
RB Leipzig
4.5%
4.3%
12.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
20.8%
No
79.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.