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La Liga · MW3 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, MadridRef: Juan Martínez Munuera
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Real Madrid 4-0 Málaga result, stats and report

Real Madrid
Won · xG 1.10
4 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.37
Málaga
Next: AS Roma v Real Madrid · Wed 14 Oct · Málaga v Real Sociedad · Sun 18 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Real MadridMálagaLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Real Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 66.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Real Madrid
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
MLA
13.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.2%
Over 2.5 goals
56.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

67%
20%
13%
66.7%Real Madrid
20.0%Draw
13.3%MLA

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 50.2%No 49.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.7%No 43.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Real Madrid or draw at 65.3%; the most likely half-time state is Real Madrid leading at half-time at 48.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 16.7%.

Double Chance

1X
65.3%
12
5.9%
X2
28.8%

Half-Time Result

Real Madrid
48.5%
Draw
36.9%
MLA
14.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Real Madrid
Draw
MLA
Real Madrid
41.7%
4.0%
1.9%
Draw
17.9%
12.4%
5.9%
MLA
4.8%
4.2%
7.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
16.7%
No
83.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.