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Carabao CupRef: Tom Nield
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Reading 1-2 Brentford result, stats and report

Reading
Lost ยท xG 1.87
1 โ€“ 2
FT
Won ยท xG 2.40
Brentford
Next: Wycombe Wanderers v Reading ยท Sat 26 Sept
Skip match sections

Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ReadingBrentfordCarabao Cup

The provider forecast gives Brentford win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RDG
34.0%
Draw
25.4%
Brentford
40.6%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
58.7%
Over 2.5 goals
56.0%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
25%
41%
34.0%RDG
25.4%Draw
40.6%Brentford

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 58.7%No 41.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 56.0%No 44.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Brentford or draw at 48.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.3%.

Double Chance

1X
45.3%
12
6.1%
X2
48.6%

Half-Time Result

RDG
28.7%
Draw
41.8%
Brentford
29.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RDG
Draw
Brentford
RDG
19.6%
5.6%
3.1%
Draw
12.1%
14.7%
14.3%
Brentford
2.3%
5.3%
22.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.3%
No
94.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.