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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW8Ref: Szymon Marciniak
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Motor Lublin result, stats and report

The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa · Fri 16 Oct · Motor Lublin v Śląsk Wrocław · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Raków CzęstochowaMotor LublinPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Raków Częstochowa win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RAK
46.6%
Draw
27.4%
MOT
26.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.3%
Over 2.5 goals
54.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

47%
27%
26%
46.6%RAK
27.4%Draw
26.1%MOT

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.3%No 39.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 54.2%No 45.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.6%
2-1
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates RAK or draw at 56.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.7%.

Double Chance

1X
56.0%
12
6.4%
X2
37.6%

Half-Time Result

RAK
36.9%
Draw
40.6%
MOT
22.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RAK
Draw
MOT
RAK
26.3%
5.5%
2.9%
Draw
17.8%
16.9%
8.6%
MOT
2.9%
5.9%
13.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.7%
No
92.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.