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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW10Ref: Damian Kos
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Raków Częstochowa 1-4 Katowice result, stats and report

Raków Częstochowa
Lost · xG 0.98
1 – 4
FT 05:36
Won · xG 2.45
Katowice
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Raków Częstochowa v Pogoń Szczecin · Mon 2 Nov · Katowice v Widzew Lodz · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Raków CzęstochowaKatowicePolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Raków Częstochowa win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RAK
48.3%
Draw
25.4%
KAT
26.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.6%
Over 2.5 goals
57.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Raków Częstochowa win was the highest probability; the match result was Katowice win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

48%
25%
26%
48.3%RAK
25.4%Draw
26.3%KAT

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 60.6%No 39.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 57.9%No 42.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.7%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates RAK or draw at 54.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.4%.

Double Chance

1X
54.2%
12
5.5%
X2
40.3%

Half-Time Result

RAK
34.9%
Draw
41.7%
KAT
23.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RAK
Draw
KAT
RAK
26.5%
5.8%
2.3%
Draw
16.7%
16.3%
8.2%
KAT
3.1%
5.6%
15.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.4%
No
89.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.