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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW6Ref: Patryk Gryckiewicz
Full time

Raków Częstochowa 2-5 Jagiellonia Białystok result, stats and report

Next: Jagiellonia Białystok v Legia Warszawa · Sun 20 Sept
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Raków CzęstochowaJagiellonia BiałystokPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Raków Częstochowa win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RAK
42.3%
Draw
26.3%
JAG
31.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.7%
Over 2.5 goals
53.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
26%
31%
42.3%RAK
26.3%Draw
31.4%JAG

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.7%No 43.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 53.2%No 46.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates RAK or draw at 51.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.4%.

Double Chance

1X
51.1%
12
6.6%
X2
42.3%

Half-Time Result

RAK
32.1%
Draw
42.1%
JAG
25.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RAK
Draw
JAG
RAK
25.1%
4.8%
2.8%
Draw
15.1%
15.8%
10.4%
JAG
2.6%
5.1%
18.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.4%
No
93.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.