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UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRef: Əliyar Ağayev
Full time

This match had in-play prices; no live commentary, stats or momentum.

Raków Częstochowa 2-3 Hajduk Split result, stats and report

Raków Częstochowa
Lost · xG 2.47
2 – 3
FT 18:05
Won · xG 1.43
Hajduk Split
Next: Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa · Fri 16 Oct · Hajduk Split v Ajax · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Raków CzęstochowaHajduk SplitUEFA Europa Conference League

The provider forecast gives Raków Częstochowa win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RAK
37.6%
Draw
25.9%
HAJ
36.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.1%
Over 2.5 goals
50.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Raków Częstochowa win was the highest probability; the match result was Hajduk Split win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
26%
37%
37.6%RAK
25.9%Draw
36.5%HAJ

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.1%No 46.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.8%No 49.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.8%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates HAJ or draw at 47.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.4%.

Double Chance

1X
45.1%
12
7.3%
X2
47.6%

Half-Time Result

RAK
24.4%
Draw
43.0%
HAJ
32.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RAK
Draw
HAJ
RAK
16.2%
5.8%
2.4%
Draw
13.5%
15.2%
15.7%
HAJ
2.5%
5.2%
23.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.4%
No
94.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.