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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW10Ref: Tomasz Kwiatkowski
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor Lublin result, stats and report

Radomiak Radom
Lost · xG 1.14
2 – 3
FT 03:15
Won · xG 2.88
Motor Lublin
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Radomiak Radom v Śląsk Wrocław · Mon 2 Nov · Motor Lublin v Wisła Płock · Fri 6 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Radomiak RadomMotor LublinPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Radomiak Radom win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

RAD
46.9%
Draw
26.3%
MOT
26.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
63.0%
Over 2.5 goals
61.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Radomiak Radom win was the highest probability; the match result was Motor Lublin win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

47%
26%
27%
46.9%RAD
26.3%Draw
26.8%MOT

Both Teams to Score

63%
Yes 63.0%No 37.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.0%No 39.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
2-1
10.4%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates RAD or draw at 55.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.5%.

Double Chance

1X
55.3%
12
5.4%
X2
39.3%

Half-Time Result

RAD
35.0%
Draw
41.9%
MOT
23.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
RAD
Draw
MOT
RAD
27.1%
5.4%
2.5%
Draw
18.1%
15.1%
8.6%
MOT
3.3%
6.2%
13.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.5%
No
90.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.