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Portsmouth 1-3 QPR, full time in the EFL Championship. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and QPR won it.
QPR turned a one-goal deficit into a commanding lead with three goals between the 33rd and 45th minutes, exposing structural problems in Portsmouth's defensive shape that will concern their coaching staff from the opening weekend.
QPR turned a one-goal deficit into a commanding lead with three goals between the 33rd and 45th minutes, exposing structural problems in Portsmouth's defensive shape that will concern their coaching staff from the opening weekend.
EFL ChampionshipSat 15 Aug, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result
QPR won 3-1 away at Portsmouth.
Goals
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
The chances backed the result: Portsmouth 1.02 to QPR 1.84 on expected goals.
First Goal
T
15'โฝ
Terry Devlin
EAssist: Ebou Adams
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Portsmouth 1.02 xGQPR 1.84 xG
Cumulative ยท approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off ยท prediction, not a Tip
Portsmouth to win
37%Missed
Result
1:3
Portsmouth v QPR
Our model leaned Portsmouth to win at 37%. Portsmouth 1-3 QPR. Forecast did not match the result.
๐ Match recap and data context
Portsmouth fell to QPR 1-3 at Fratton Park in the Championship. Our model favored a Portsmouth win at 37 percent probability; the pick missed. QPR's recent form offered little promise, winless in their last five, yet they controlled the match and broke through decisively. Portsmouth's defensive vulnerabilities, evident in an 80 percent both-teams-to-score rate across their last five outings, proved costly against a visiting side that had conceded in all recent fixtures. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision ยท no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Pre-match facts retained
The immutable pre-match Match Facts snapshot is still being reconciled. Current provider rows are not substituted into the completed-match archive.