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EFL Championship · MW5 Fratton Park, PortsmouthRef: Ben Speedie
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Portsmouth 2-0 Cardiff City result, stats and report

Portsmouth
Won · xG 1.63
2 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 1.23
Cardiff City
Next: Portsmouth v Sheffield Utd · Wed 14 Oct · Cardiff City v Watford · Tue 13 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PortsmouthCardiff CityEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Cardiff City win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Portsmouth
32.7%
Draw
25.4%
CDF
42.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.0%
Over 2.5 goals
55.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

33%
25%
42%
32.7%Portsmouth
25.4%Draw
42.0%CDF

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 57.0%No 43.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 55.9%No 44.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates CDF or draw at 50.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.5%.

Double Chance

1X
43.6%
12
6.1%
X2
50.3%

Half-Time Result

Portsmouth
29.7%
Draw
38.8%
CDF
31.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Portsmouth
Draw
CDF
Portsmouth
18.8%
4.9%
3.3%
Draw
11.2%
14.2%
14.1%
CDF
2.3%
6.2%
24.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.5%
No
95.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.