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FA CupRef: George Laflin
Full time

This match had stats, momentum and in-play prices; no live commentary.

Port Vale 4-2 Scunthorpe United result, stats and report

4 – 2
FT
Scunthorpe United
Lost
Scunthorpe United
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Port Vale v Accrington Stanley · Sat 14 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Port ValeScunthorpe UnitedFA Cup

The provider forecast gives Port Vale win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PTV
53.1%
Draw
23.3%
SCU
23.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.3%
Over 2.5 goals
55.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Port Vale win was the highest probability; the match result was Port Vale win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

53%
23%
24%
53.1%PTV
23.3%Draw
23.6%SCU

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.3%No 45.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.3%No 44.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PTV or draw at 59.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.3%.

Double Chance

1X
59.1%
12
5.9%
X2
35.0%

Half-Time Result

PTV
39.0%
Draw
39.3%
SCU
21.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PTV
Draw
SCU
PTV
32.3%
4.3%
1.9%
Draw
17.6%
13.1%
8.5%
SCU
3.2%
4.4%
14.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.3%
No
89.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.