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League One · MW10Ref: Stephen Parkinson
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Plymouth Argyle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon result, stats and report

Plymouth Argyle
Won · xG 2.26
2 – 1
FT 04:25
Lost · xG 1.57
AFC Wimbledon
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Sheffield Wednesday v Plymouth Argyle · Sat 14 Nov · AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool · Sat 14 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Plymouth ArgyleAFC WimbledonLeague One

The provider forecast gives Plymouth Argyle win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PLA
49.4%
Draw
24.3%
AWM
26.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.1%
Over 2.5 goals
56.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Plymouth Argyle win was the highest probability; the match result was Plymouth Argyle win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

49%
24%
26%
49.4%PLA
24.3%Draw
26.4%AWM

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 58.1%No 41.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.8%No 43.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PLA or draw at 58.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.0%.

Double Chance

1X
58.8%
12
5.5%
X2
35.6%

Half-Time Result

PLA
37.5%
Draw
41.4%
AWM
21.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PLA
Draw
AWM
PLA
31.7%
5.1%
2.0%
Draw
16.1%
14.6%
9.0%
AWM
3.2%
5.2%
12.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.0%
No
90.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.