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Ligue 2 · MW5Ref: Thomas Vincent
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Pau 1-1 Sochaux result, stats and report

Pau
Drew
1 – 1
FT
Next: Guingamp v Pau · Fri 16 Oct · Metz v Sochaux · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PauSochauxLigue 2

The provider forecast gives Sochaux win the highest 1X2 probability at 35.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PAU
35.0%
Draw
29.6%
Sochaux
35.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
45.2%
Over 2.5 goals
40.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

35%
30%
35%
35.0%PAU
29.6%Draw
35.5%Sochaux

Both Teams to Score

45%
Yes 45.2%No 54.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

41%
Yes 40.5%No 59.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
66%
Over 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
20%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PAU or draw at 48.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.2%.

Double Chance

1X
48.0%
12
11.4%
X2
40.5%

Half-Time Result

PAU
29.4%
Draw
44.8%
Sochaux
25.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PAU
Draw
Sochaux
PAU
22.7%
5.3%
2.1%
Draw
13.3%
19.1%
12.2%
Sochaux
2.1%
5.1%
18.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.2%
No
96.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.