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Ligue 2 · MW8Ref: Karim Abed
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Pau 3-2 Laval result, stats and report

Pau
Won · xG 1.75
3 – 2
FT 05:15
Lost · xG 1.82
Laval
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Red Star v Pau · Fri 20 Nov · Laval v Montpellier · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PauLavalLigue 2

The provider forecast gives Pau win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PAU
46.4%
Draw
28.4%
LAV
25.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.1%
Over 2.5 goals
42.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Pau win was the highest probability; the match result was Pau win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
28%
25%
46.4%PAU
28.4%Draw
25.2%LAV

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 48.1%No 51.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

43%
Yes 42.9%No 57.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
22%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PAU or draw at 56.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.2%.

Double Chance

1X
56.4%
12
9.5%
X2
34.1%

Half-Time Result

PAU
35.6%
Draw
43.5%
LAV
20.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
PAU
Draw
LAV
PAU
26.6%
5.9%
1.9%
Draw
16.0%
18.5%
9.6%
LAV
2.9%
6.3%
12.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.2%
No
94.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.