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Ligue 1 · MW5 Stade Charléty, ParisRef: Jeremy Stinat
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg result, stats and report

Paris FC
Won · xG 1.31
2 – 1
FT 06:05
Lost · xG 0.33
Strasbourg
Next: Lens v Paris FC · Sat 24 Oct · Rennes v Strasbourg · Sun 25 Oct
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Who won Paris FC vs Strasbourg?

Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

How it played out

Paris FC won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 06:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Paris FC 2–1 Strasbourg

Paris FC made it three wins from their last five Ligue 1 matches with a controlled home victory over Strasbourg, though a late Moustapha Mbow own goal gave the scoreline a nervy look that the performance did not deserve.

Key Takeaways
Result

Paris FC beat Strasbourg 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Paris FC 1.31 to Strasbourg 0.33 on expected goals.

First Goal
I
18'⚽
Ilan Kebbal
LAssist: Lassine Sinayoko
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Paris FC 1.31 xGStrasbourg 0.33 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Paris FC to win

43%Matched

Result

Paris FC2:1Strasbourg

Paris FC v Strasbourg

Our model called Paris FC to win at 43%. Paris FC 2-1 Strasbourg. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Paris FC v Strasbourg · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Maxime LopezParis FC★ MOTM1 assist · 86 min7.7
  2. Lassine Sinayoko1 assist · 87 min7.5
  3. Filip Jørgensen90 min7.5
  4. Pierre Lees-MelouParis FC90 min7.5
  5. Ilan KebbalParis FC1 goal · 68 min7.5

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Paris FC win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Paris FC
42.7%
Draw
25.7%
Strasbourg
31.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.4%
Over 2.5 goals
57.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Paris FC win was the highest probability; the match result was Paris FC win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Paris FC and Strasbourg, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 1/2recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 9league matches at home unbeaten for Paris FC.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 9league matches away from home unbeaten for Strasbourg.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Paris FC scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Strasbourg scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Paris FC have averaged 2.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Strasbourg have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Lassine Sinayoko has the highest listed average xGOT for Paris FC at 1.20 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Diogo Sousa has the highest listed average xGOT for Strasbourg at 0.92 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
    Paris FC beat Strasbourg 2-1 in the Ligue 1 at Stade Charléty.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Ilan Kebbal opened the scoring in the 18th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Ilan Kebbal (18'), Pablo Pagis (57'), Moustapha Mbow (88', og).
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Jeremy Stinat officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Paris FC vs Strasbourg kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time at Stade Charléty.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    3 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Paris FC play Lens on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. Strasbourg play Rennes on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.