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UEFA Champions League · MW3 Parc des Princes, ParisRef: Michael Oliver
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Paris Saint Germain 4-2 Barcelona result, stats and report

Paris Saint Germain
Won · xG 2.74
4 – 2
FT 05:55
Lost · xG 2.23
Barcelona
Next: Nice v Paris Saint Germain · Sat 21 Nov · Atletico Madrid v Barcelona · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Paris Saint GermainBarcelonaUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Barcelona win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Paris Saint Germain
36.1%
Draw
20.0%
Barcelona
43.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
65.9%
Over 2.5 goals
71.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Barcelona win was the highest probability; the match result was Paris Saint Germain win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
20%
44%
36.1%Paris Saint Germain
20.0%Draw
43.9%Barcelona

Both Teams to Score

66%
Yes 65.9%No 34.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

71%
Yes 71.4%No 28.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
48%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-2
9.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
5.0%
0-1
4.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Paris Saint Germain or draw at 54.0%; the most likely half-time state is Paris Saint Germain leading at half-time at 38.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.9%.

Double Chance

1X
54.0%
12
2.6%
X2
43.4%

Half-Time Result

Paris Saint Germain
38.4%
Draw
35.3%
Barcelona
26.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Paris Saint Germain
Draw
Barcelona
Paris Saint Germain
28.2%
4.7%
3.0%
Draw
15.3%
9.7%
10.2%
Barcelona
2.8%
4.0%
22.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.9%
No
90.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.