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Ligue 1 · MW2 Stade Charléty, ParisRef: Jeremy Stinat
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Paris FC 3-0 Nice result, stats and report

Paris FC
Won · xG 1.39
3 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.36
Nice
Next: Paris FC v Rennes · Sun 18 Oct · Lyon v Nice · Sun 18 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Paris FCNiceLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Paris FC win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Paris FC
48.8%
Draw
26.0%
Nice
25.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.3%
Over 2.5 goals
49.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

49%
26%
25%
48.8%Paris FC
26.0%Draw
25.1%Nice

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 52.3%No 47.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 49.5%No 50.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Paris FC or draw at 52.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 47.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.6%.

Double Chance

1X
52.7%
12
7.9%
X2
39.4%

Half-Time Result

Paris FC
31.2%
Draw
47.1%
Nice
21.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Paris FC
Draw
Nice
Paris FC
24.6%
5.6%
1.9%
Draw
16.4%
18.6%
10.3%
Nice
2.6%
5.2%
14.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.6%
No
92.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.