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Ligue 1 · Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 19:45 KO Stade Charléty, Paris

Paris FC vs Lyon prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
12 Sept
Paris FC 40%Draw 26%Lyon 34%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

Paris FCLyonLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Paris FC win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.6%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Paris FC
39.6%
Draw
26.0%
Lyon
34.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.3%
Over 2.5 goals
50.7%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
26%
34%
39.6%Paris FC
26.0%Draw
34.4%Lyon

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 55.3%No 44.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.7%No 49.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Paris FC or draw at 48.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.1%.

Double Chance

1X
48.5%
12
7.2%
X2
44.3%

Half-Time Result

Paris FC
28.9%
Draw
45.5%
Lyon
25.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Paris FC
Draw
Lyon
Paris FC
21.0%
5.6%
3.2%
Draw
13.6%
17.4%
12.8%
Lyon
3.0%
4.7%
18.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.1%
No
94.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.