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Serie B · MW5Ref: Marco Di Bello
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Palermo 2-1 Calcio Padova result, stats and report

Palermo
Palermo
Won
2 – 1
FT
Calcio Padova
Lost
Calcio Padova
Match review
Next: Palermo v Carrarese · Sun 25 Oct · Avellino v Calcio Padova · Sat 24 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

Palermo 2-1 Calcio Padova, full time in Serie B. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Palermo won it.

How it played out

PAL won it 2–1

PALPAD

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 05:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Palermo 2–1 Calcio Padova

Calcio Padova produced a remarkable away victory at Palermo, with Dominic Vavassori scoring twice to overturn an early deficit and hand the home side a first defeat in five Serie B matches.

Serie BSat 19 Sept, 14:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Palermo beat Calcio Padova 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
C
7'⚽
Christian Pastina
MAssist: Matteo Cocchi

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Palermo to win

57%Matched

Result

Palermo2:1Calcio Padova

PAL v PAD

Our model called Palermo to win at 57%. Palermo 2-1 Calcio Padova. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Palermo hosts Calcio Padova in Serie B on September 19 at 13:00 UTC. Palermo have won both previous meetings and show 60% BTTS in their last five matches, though they've managed just one win in five recent outings. Padova arrive winless in three of their last five games. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Palermo v Calcio Padova · Serie B ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Dominic Vavassori★ MOTM2 goals · 90 min8.7
  2. Christian PastinaPAD1 goal · 90 min7.5
  3. Pietro FusiPAD90 min7.4
  4. Alessandro SorrentinoPAD90 min7.3
  5. Matteo Lovato90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

PalermoCalcio PadovaSerie B

The provider forecast gives Palermo win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

PAL
56.6%
Draw
25.4%
PAD
18.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.7%
Over 2.5 goals
52.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Palermo win was the highest probability; the match result was Palermo win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Other qualifying Tips

Como Vs SassuoloPlus TipFSV Mainz 05 Vs Werder BremenPlus Tip
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Palermo and Calcio Padova, landing once across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2/4recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 38league matches at home unbeaten for Palermo.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Palermo scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Calcio Padova scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Palermo have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Calcio Padova have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Joel Pohjanpalo has the highest listed average xGOT for Palermo at 0.61 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nicolas Galazzi has the highest listed average xGOT for Calcio Padova at 0.80 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Palermo vs Calcio Padova?
    PAL beat PAD 2-1 in the Serie B.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Christian Pastina opened the scoring in the 7th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Christian Pastina (7'), Dominic Vavassori (44'), Dominic Vavassori (83').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Marco Di Bello officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    PAL vs PAD kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    18 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    PAL play Palermo on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. PAD play Avellino on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.