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League One · MW10Ref: Carl Brook
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Notts County 1-2 Oxford United result, stats and report

Notts County
Lost · xG 0.81
1 – 2
FT 04:15
Won · xG 1.08
Oxford United
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Mansfield Town v Notts County · Sat 31 Oct · Barnsley v Oxford United · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Notts CountyOxford UnitedLeague One

The provider forecast gives Notts County win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NOT
42.0%
Draw
26.2%
Oxford United
31.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.6%
Over 2.5 goals
51.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Notts County win was the highest probability; the match result was Oxford United win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
26%
32%
42.0%NOT
26.2%Draw
31.9%Oxford United

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 55.6%No 44.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 51.2%No 48.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates NOT or draw at 53.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.0%.

Double Chance

1X
53.8%
12
6.5%
X2
39.6%

Half-Time Result

NOT
33.5%
Draw
42.0%
Oxford United
24.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
NOT
Draw
Oxford United
NOT
26.1%
5.9%
2.1%
Draw
15.3%
16.4%
10.4%
Oxford United
3.1%
6.0%
14.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.0%
No
94.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.