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League One · MW3Ref: Kirsty Dowle
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Notts County 2-1 Burton Albion result, stats and report

Notts County
Won · xG 2.62
2 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.17
Burton Albion
Next: Wycombe Wanderers v Notts County · Sat 17 Oct · Peterborough United v Burton Albion · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Notts CountyBurton AlbionLeague One

The provider forecast gives Notts County win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NOT
39.4%
Draw
26.2%
BRA
34.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.0%
Over 2.5 goals
50.6%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
26%
34%
39.4%NOT
26.2%Draw
34.4%BRA

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 55.0%No 45.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.6%No 49.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates NOT or draw at 49.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.4%.

Double Chance

1X
49.8%
12
7.3%
X2
42.8%

Half-Time Result

NOT
31.4%
Draw
45.0%
BRA
23.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
NOT
Draw
BRA
NOT
24.3%
5.1%
2.2%
Draw
14.9%
17.6%
11.6%
BRA
2.4%
5.5%
16.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.4%
No
94.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.