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League One · MW6Ref: Alex Chilowicz
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Notts County 0-1 Bradford City result, stats and report

Notts County
Lost · xG 0.55
0 – 1
FT 05:45
Won · xG 0.64
Bradford City
Next: Notts County v Stockport County · Sat 24 Oct · Oxford United v Bradford City · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Notts CountyBradford CityLeague One

The provider forecast gives Notts County win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NOT
39.1%
Draw
26.6%
BDC
34.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.1%
Over 2.5 goals
52.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Notts County win was the highest probability; the match result was Bradford City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
27%
34%
39.1%NOT
26.6%Draw
34.3%BDC

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.1%No 43.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.3%No 47.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BDC or draw at 47.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.7%.

Double Chance

1X
46.0%
12
6.8%
X2
47.2%

Half-Time Result

NOT
27.7%
Draw
43.5%
BDC
28.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
NOT
Draw
BDC
NOT
20.6%
5.2%
2.7%
Draw
12.9%
18.2%
12.2%
BDC
2.5%
5.8%
19.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.7%
No
94.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.