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Carabao Cup The City Ground, Nottingham, NottinghamshireRef: Andrew Kitchen
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Nottingham Forest 0-2 Leeds result, stats and report

Nottingham Forest
Lost · xG 1.52
0 – 2
FT 04:55
Won · xG 1.71
Leeds
Next: Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest · Sun 11 Oct · Arsenal v Leeds · Sat 10 Oct
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Who won Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

Nottingham Forest 0-2 Leeds, full time in the Carabao Cup. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 3 times in the fixtures we hold, with Nottingham Forest winning 1, Leeds winning 2 and 0 drawn.

How it played out

Leeds won it 2–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 04:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Nottingham Forest 0–2 Leeds

Leeds produced a composed and well-structured performance at the City Ground to beat Nottingham Forest 2-0 in the Carabao Cup, with second-half goals completing a convincing away victory that the statistics broadly support.

Key Takeaways
Result

Leeds won 2-0 away at Nottingham Forest.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
D
50'⚽
Daniel James
SAssist: Sean Longstaff
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottingham Forest 1.52 xGLeeds 1.71 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Nottingham Forest to win

44%Missed

Result

Nottingham Forest0:2Leeds

Nottingham Forest v Leeds

Our model leaned Nottingham Forest to win at 44%. Nottingham Forest 0-2 Leeds. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Nottingham Forest fell to Leeds 0-2 at the City Ground in the Carabao Cup. Our model backed Forest at 44% probability; the pick missed. Leeds controlled the match without reply, extending their recent head-to-head record to three wins in their last four meetings. Forest's recent form, which had included two wins in five games, proved insufficient against a visiting side that found clinical finishing when it mattered. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Nottingham Forest v Leeds · Carabao Cup ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. James JustinLeeds★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min8.2
  2. Daniel JamesLeeds1 goal · 71 min7.8
  3. Nico Elvedi90 min7.5
  4. Nikola MilenkovićNottingham Forest90 min7.3
  5. James Trafford90 min7.2
Timeline

Key moments

Full timeline
  1. 50'Daniel James · Leeds
  2. 60'Dan Ndoye · Nottingham Forest
  3. 60'Murillo · Nottingham Forest
  4. 60'Callum Hudson-Odoi · Nottingham Forest
  5. 75'James Justin · Leeds

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

4 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Leeds, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Leeds, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 13 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 28 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Nottingham Forest, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 19 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

No approved historical facts were saved before kick-off.

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?
    Leeds beat Nottingham Forest 2-0 in the Carabao Cup at The City Ground.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Daniel James opened the scoring in the 50th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Daniel James (50'), James Justin (75').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 7 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Andrew Kitchen officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Nottingham Forest vs Leeds kicked off on Tuesday, 25 August 2026 UK time at The City Ground.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    5 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Nottingham Forest play Crystal Palace on Sunday, 11 October 2026 UK time. Leeds play Arsenal on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.