UEFA Europa Conference League · Thu, 30 Jul 2026, 17:00 KO

Nõmme Kalju

LDWLast 5

Kicks off in

1d 13h

Shelbourne

WLast 5

The signals

Recorded before kick-off · best UKGC price

Model pick

Over 2.5 goals

Model rates Over 2.5 at 52%; market implies 56%.

implied 56%model 52%

1.80bet3651.80Betfair1.73BetVictor

Value pickModel agrees

Nõmme Kalju to win

The best price sits 8.5 percentage points above our modelled fair line for this outcome.

implied 32%model 41%

3.13BetVictor3.10Coral3.10William Hill

Should you back Nõmme Kalju or Shelbourne?

Nõmme Kalju vs Shelbourne kicks off Thursday 30 July at 17:00 UK time in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Our model's pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 52.4% modelled probability, best priced 1.80 with bet365. The market price sits 8.5 percentage points above our modelled fair line, so the model and value reads agree.

Full prediction breakdown →

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Model vs market

Nõmme Kalju win40%mkt 32%

Draw25%mkt 27%

Shelbourne win35%mkt 47%

Model, set before kick-offMarket, implied by the best pre-match price

18+ · Please gamble responsibly · www.begambleaware.org.

More angles from this match

★ Best edge today · +8.5pp

AI-derived signals · best UKGC price

Nõmme KaljuvShelbourne

xG lean+8.5pp

Nõmme Kaljuto win

3.13BetVictor3.10Coral3.10William Hill

Nõmme KaljuvShelbourne

Both teams to score

BTTS · Yes

1.67Betfair1.66bet3651.62William Hill

Value & facts

Best SportSignals+ signals for this match

1 value rows1 match signals

#1Elite EVThu 30 Jul, 16:001m ago

Nõmme KaljuvShelbourne

Nõmme Kalju

Match result

+8.5 pp90% confidence

Probability gap

+26.6% EV

Model40.5%

Implied31.9%

Model is 8.6 pp above the market.

Best price

213/100

Fair 147/100

+26.6%

Edge

+8.5

UEFA Europa Conference League8 booksNo material moveMatch Centre

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions

Nõmme Kalju

—

xG for

Goals

—

xGA

Last 3 matches

Shelbourne

—

xG for

Goals

—

xGA

Last 1 match

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League qualifier replay or second leg scenario. Shelbourne hold a significant advantage having won 5-2 at home. Nõmme Kalju must overturn a three-goal deficit on aggregate if this follows standard two-leg format. Both sides have conceded in every recent match; BTTS odds stand at 100 percent across their recent fixtures.

Player props land closer to kick-off, usually a few hours before the game.

📊 Match preview and data context

Nõmme Kalju host Shelbourne in the UEFA Europa Conference League on July 30 at 16:00 UTC. Our model backs Nõmme Kalju to win at 40% probability, with best odds of 2.05 available at bet365. Shelbourne hold the head-to-head edge from their sole prior meeting, though Nõmme Kalju have drawn one of their last five while both sides have scored in all recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Nõmme Kalju v Shelbourne · UEFA Europa Conference League · 30/07/2026, 17:00:00

Frequently asked questions

When is Nõmme Kalju vs Shelbourne and where is it played?
Nõmme Kalju vs Shelbourne takes place on Thursday 30 July at 17:00 (UK time) in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju vs Shelbourne?
Our model's pick is Over 2.5 goals (totals), with around 52% confidence, best priced at 1.80 with bet365. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Where is the betting value in Nõmme Kalju vs Shelbourne?
Our model flags Nõmme Kalju to win as the value pick — around +8.5 percentage points above the market's implied probability — best priced at 3.13 with betvictor. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Shelbourne?
In their last 1 meetings, Nõmme Kalju won 0, Shelbourne won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 1 of those 1.
How can I watch Nõmme Kalju vs Shelbourne?
Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for UEFA Europa Conference League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
Are SportSignals predictions for Nõmme Kalju vs Shelbourne free?
Yes. Our AI predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Nõmme Kalju vs Shelbourne are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.

Match preview & picks

🎯

Model pick: Over 2.5 goals

52% confidence · Model rates Over 2.5 at 52%; market implies 56%.

1.80

Check price

💎

Value pick: Nõmme Kalju win

+8.5% edge vs market · best at betvictor

3.13

Check price

📊

xG lean: Nõmme Kalju to win

Model 40.5% · market 31.9%

3.13

Check price

🔁

H2H trend

Nõmme Kalju 0W · Shelbourne 1W in last 1 · BTTS in 1 of 1

0-0-1

🧠

AI take

Nõmme Kalju host Shelbourne in the UEFA Europa Conference League on July 30 at 16:00 UTC. Our model backs Nõmme Kalju to win at 40% probabil…

All odds

Best price · UKGC books

All Odds

Full table →

Bookie	Home	Draw	Away
Coral	21/10	13/5	23/20★
Unibet	39/20	13/5	23/20★
Betfair	19/10	27/10★	21/20
BetVictor	213/100★	12/5	11/10
bwin	2/1	12/5	11/10
Ladbrokes	2/1	12/5	11/10
William Hill	21/10	23/10	11/10
bet365	2/1	12/5	21/20

Prices update regularly. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

AI Prediction

Best price 1.80

Nõmme Kalju win40.5%vs 31.9%

Draw24.9%vs 27.0%

Shelbourne win34.6%vs 46.5%

Top signal

Over 2.5 goals

totals · model 52%

18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Edge · SportSignals+

Every +EV price and trend for this match, ranked by edge.

Open the Edge tab

Full-time result accuracy

View all →

50.1%

full-time-result selections recorded before kickoff and settled

874 correct from 1746 resolved picks

Competition scope: all competitions with verified settled selections
Data through:: 28 Jul 2026
Period:: 15 Apr 2026 to 28 Jul 2026

50.1%

Correct means the selection settled as won on the 90-minute result. Every selection counted here was recorded before kickoff. Past performance does not guarantee future results.