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Ligue 1 · MW3 Allianz Riviera, NiceRef: Jérémie Pignard
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Nice 1-1 Le Mans result, stats and report

Nice
Drew · xG 0.64
1 – 1
FT
Drew · xG 0.67
Le Mans
Next: Lyon v Nice · Sun 18 Oct · Le Mans v Toulouse · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NiceLe MansLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Nice win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Nice
43.7%
Draw
26.4%
LE
29.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.8%
Over 2.5 goals
48.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
26%
30%
43.7%Nice
26.4%Draw
29.9%LE

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.8%No 48.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 48.1%No 51.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Nice or draw at 50.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.9%.

Double Chance

1X
50.3%
12
8.6%
X2
41.1%

Half-Time Result

Nice
33.7%
Draw
41.8%
LE
24.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Nice
Draw
LE
Nice
26.1%
5.4%
2.4%
Draw
15.0%
16.1%
10.9%
LE
3.4%
5.1%
15.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.9%
No
94.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.