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UEFA Europa League · MW2 Goffertstadion, NijmegenRef: Əliyar Ağayev
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Levski Sofia result, stats and report

NEC Nijmegen
Drew · xG 1.46
1 – 1
FT 06:25
Drew · xG 1.07
Levski Sofia
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia · Thu 5 Nov · Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia Białystok · Thu 5 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NEC NijmegenLevski SofiaUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives NEC Nijmegen win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

NEC Nijmegen
42.2%
Draw
25.1%
Levski Sofia
32.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.2%
Over 2.5 goals
51.6%

Full-time forecast audit: NEC Nijmegen win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
25%
33%
42.2%NEC Nijmegen
25.1%Draw
32.6%Levski Sofia

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.2%No 46.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 51.6%No 48.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates NEC Nijmegen or draw at 48.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.7%.

Double Chance

1X
48.4%
12
7.3%
X2
44.3%

Half-Time Result

NEC Nijmegen
30.8%
Draw
42.6%
Levski Sofia
26.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
NEC Nijmegen
Draw
Levski Sofia
NEC Nijmegen
23.8%
4.7%
2.5%
Draw
14.3%
14.3%
11.8%
Levski Sofia
2.2%
5.0%
21.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.7%
No
93.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.