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Serie A · MW4 Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, NapoliRef: Kevin Bonacina
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Napoli 1-0 Bologna result, stats and report

Napoli
Napoli
Won · xG 1.92
1 – 0
FT 09:55
Bologna
Lost · xG 0.27
Bologna
Match review
Next: Napoli v Bodø / Glimt · Tue 20 Oct · Cagliari v Bologna · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Napoli vs Bologna?

Napoli 1-0 Bologna, full time in Serie A. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Bologna won it.

How it played out

Napoli won it 1–0

NapoliBologna

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 09:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Napoli 1–0 Bologna

Stanislav Lobotka's second-half strike was the difference as Napoli dominated Bologna from start to finish, keeping a clean sheet to secure a hard-fought 1-0 win in Serie A.

Serie ASun 13 Sept, 17:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Napoli beat Bologna 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Napoli 1.92 to Bologna 0.27 on expected goals.

First Goal
S
66'⚽
Stanislav Lobotka
CAssist: Costantino Favasuli
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Napoli 1.92 xGBologna 0.27 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Napoli to win

51%Matched

Result

Napoli1:0Bologna

Napoli v Bologna

Our model called Napoli to win at 51%. Napoli 1-0 Bologna. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Napoli beat Bologna 1-0 at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Our model backed a Napoli win at 51 percent probability, and the pick landed. Napoli had won two of their last five matches going in, while Bologna arrived winless in that span. The hosts controlled the match and found the single goal needed to secure three points. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Napoli v Bologna · Serie A ·

More from this competition: Serie A predictions · Serie A odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Stanislav LobotkaNapoli★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min7.9
  2. Kevin De BruyneNapoli88 min7.6
  3. Costantino Favasuli1 assist · 44 min7.6
  4. Leonardo SpinazzolaNapoli90 min7.3
  5. Amir RrahmaniNapoli90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

NapoliBolognaSerie A

The provider forecast gives Napoli win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Napoli
51.1%
Draw
24.3%
Bologna
24.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.6%
Over 2.5 goals
51.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Napoli win was the highest probability; the match result was Napoli win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 3-2is the most common scoreline between Napoli and Bologna, landing 4 times across 23 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 14/23recorded league meetings saw both teams score (60.9%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 43league matches at home unbeaten for Napoli.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Napoli scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bologna scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Napoli have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Bologna have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Kevin De Bruyne has the highest listed average xGOT for Napoli at 0.64 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Roberto Piccoli has the highest listed average xGOT for Bologna at 0.77 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Napoli vs Bologna?
    Napoli beat Bologna 1-0 in the Serie A at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Stanislav Lobotka opened the scoring in the 66th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Stanislav Lobotka (66').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 1 yellow card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Kevin Bonacina officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Napoli vs Bologna kicked off on Sunday, 13 September 2026 UK time at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Napoli play Bodø / Glimt on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 UK time. Bologna play Cagliari on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.