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UEFA Champions League · Wed, 09 Sept 2026, 20:00 KO Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli

Napoli vs Arsenal prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
6d 10h
Napoli 31%Draw 24%Arsenal 44%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

NapoliArsenalUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Arsenal win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.5%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Napoli
31.4%
Draw
24.1%
Arsenal
44.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.2%
Over 2.5 goals
53.7%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

31%
24%
44%
31.4%Napoli
24.1%Draw
44.5%Arsenal

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.2%No 45.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.7%No 46.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Arsenal or draw at 48.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.2%.

Double Chance

1X
45.3%
12
6.2%
X2
48.5%

Half-Time Result

Napoli
27.7%
Draw
40.5%
Arsenal
31.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Napoli
Draw
Arsenal
Napoli
20.6%
3.9%
2.8%
Draw
12.3%
15.7%
11.7%
Arsenal
1.5%
4.7%
26.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.2%
No
95.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.