Mulbarton Wanderers 3-0 Cornard United FC result, stats and report

Cornard United FC pulled off a brilliant FA Cup upset, scoring twice in the dying moments to beat Downham Town 2-0 and book their place in the next round.

Two sides with perfect early-season records meet in the FA Cup on Saturday, but the underlying shape of their form tells very different stories about how those results were achieved.

Two sides who have both won their opening games of the season meet in the FA Cup on Saturday. Histon's leaky but lively home record points one way. Cornard United's clean sheet away from home points another. Something has to give.

Two sides carrying perfect early-season records meet in the FA Cup on Saturday 22 August. Marcus Vale works through what the limited but telling data actually shows about this preliminary round tie.

The FA Cup gets going at grassroots level on Saturday 8 August as Mulbarton Wanderers host Lakenheath. The model fancies the home side heavily but both teams scoring looks a real possibility. Jay Thompson breaks it all down.

The SportSignals model gives Downham Town a 40.1% win probability for this FA Cup first-round tie, with both teams to score and over 2.5 goals each carrying a 61% likelihood. Marcus Vale breaks down what the numbers actually mean for Saturday's match.