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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW11Ref: Sebastian Krasny
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Motor Lublin 3-2 Śląsk Wrocław result, stats and report

Motor Lublin
Won · xG 4.96
3 – 2
FT 06:25
Lost · xG 0.92
Śląsk Wrocław
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Pogoń Szczecin v Śląsk Wrocław · Fri 20 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Motor LublinŚląsk WrocławPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Motor Lublin win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MOT
40.2%
Draw
26.0%
Śląsk Wrocław
33.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.2%
Over 2.5 goals
56.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Motor Lublin win was the highest probability; the match result was Motor Lublin win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
26%
34%
40.2%MOT
26.0%Draw
33.7%Śląsk Wrocław

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.2%No 39.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 56.3%No 43.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MOT or draw at 53.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.8%.

Double Chance

1X
53.6%
12
5.7%
X2
40.7%

Half-Time Result

MOT
31.5%
Draw
40.2%
Śląsk Wrocław
28.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MOT
Draw
Śląsk Wrocław
MOT
23.3%
5.9%
3.0%
Draw
13.7%
14.9%
11.8%
Śląsk Wrocław
3.0%
6.3%
18.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.8%
No
93.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.