CLIP0:16Connor with our second of the night · Motherwell 0–4 Aberdeen
@AberdeenFCOpen on XClip unavailable here, open it on X.
Scottish Premiership · MW3Ref: Steven McLean
Full time
Motherwell 0-4 Aberdeen result, stats and report
Next: Dundee v Motherwell · Sat 19 Sept · Hibernian v Aberdeen · Sat 19 Sept
Skip match sections
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Motherwell win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- MOT
- 49.3%
- Draw
- 25.1%
- ABE
- 25.6%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 51.3%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48.8%
Forecast result checked ·
Evidence and authority
- Provider forecast
- Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
- SportSignals transformation
- We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
- Market consensus
- Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
- Tip and Plus value
- A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | lost |
| Half-time / full-time | lost |
| Half-time result | won |
| Over 1.5 goals | won |
| Over 2.5 goals | lost |
| Over 3.5 goals | lost |
| Full-time result | lost |
| Double chance | lost |
| Correct score | lost |
| Both teams to score in both halves | won |
Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.
Match Probabilities
Full-Time Result
49%
25%
26%
49.3%MOT
25.1%Draw
25.6%ABE
Both Teams to Score
Yes 51.3%No 48.7%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Yes 48.8%No 51.2%
Goals Markets
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%
Most Likely Correct Scores
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
More markets
On the double chance our model rates MOT or draw at 55.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.3%.
Double Chance
1X
55.0%
12
7.4%
X2
37.7%
Half-Time Result
MOT
37.5%
Draw
40.5%
ABE
22.0%
Half-Time / Full-Time
HT \ FT
MOT
Draw
ABE
MOT
31.3%
4.9%
2.2%
Draw
16.8%
14.3%
8.9%
ABE
2.8%
4.8%
14.1%
BTTS in Both Halves
Yes
7.3%
No
92.7%
Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
@BBCSportScot