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Ligue 2 · MW8Ref: Pierre Retail
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Montpellier 2-0 Grenoble Foot 38 result, stats and report

Montpellier
Won · xG 2.32
2 – 0
FT 05:15
Lost · xG 1.31
Grenoble Foot 38
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Laval v Montpellier · Sat 21 Nov · Nantes v Grenoble Foot 38 · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MontpellierGrenoble Foot 38Ligue 2

The provider forecast gives Montpellier win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MPL
51.2%
Draw
23.8%
GRE
25.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.6%
Over 2.5 goals
53.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Montpellier win was the highest probability; the match result was Montpellier win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

51%
24%
25%
51.2%MPL
23.8%Draw
25.0%GRE

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.6%No 45.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.8%No 46.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MPL or draw at 60.6%; the most likely half-time state is MPL leading at half-time at 41.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.4%.

Double Chance

1X
60.6%
12
6.4%
X2
33.0%

Half-Time Result

MPL
41.0%
Draw
40.8%
GRE
18.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MPL
Draw
GRE
MPL
34.2%
5.0%
1.4%
Draw
19.2%
15.6%
6.3%
GRE
3.7%
4.9%
9.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.4%
No
90.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.